Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 43 · v1

Severe Weather near Oregon

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 19 May 2026 at 22:05 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 10th strongest of the 70 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 26 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 19 at 5:55PM EDT until May 19 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI

Urban PEI: 380,897 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 26 March 2026

How we know

4 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.90/1
Coordinates41.7392, -83.2275
Nearest CityOregon (24 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)380.9K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-19T21:55:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a1e39d312b2df44ef91eb52baedd5c7d

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-05-19T21:55:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-05-19T21:56:45.477Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescMichigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI; Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH; Reno Beach to The Islands OH; The Islands to Vermilion OH; Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border; Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 19 at 5:55PM EDT until May 19 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI
Expires2026-05-19T18:05:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Detroit/Pontiac MI
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a1e39d312b2df44ef91eb52baedd5c7da93c3f6a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.41987a2c198de64574ff74d1d6a48aa7d395c201.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryM
Iem Magnitude40
Iem Unitmph
Iem CityDetroit River Light
Iem CountyLEZ444
Iem StateMI
Iem WfoDTX
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_G_42.380_-83.370_1779222180000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779222180000,"latitude":42.38,"longitude":-83.37},{"id":"iem_G_41.940_-83.430_1779223680000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779223680000,"latitude":41.94,"longitude":-83.43},{"id":"iem_M_42.000_-83.140_1779225540000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779225540000,"latitude":42,"longitude":-83.14}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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